Just one day of campaign shenanigans remains as the UK electorate heads for General Election 2019 polls on Thursday 12 December. How confident are bookmakers of their market readings, as polls and punters anticipate a Conservative majority outcome, or will Britain be hung out to dry on its Brexit election… SBC gets the bookies lowdown.!
SBC: Entering the final days of campaigning, a conservative majority is trading at 1/4. Have the markets underestimated the British electorates ability to ‘flip the script’? Is there one more twist in this Xmas Election tale?
Katie Baylis (UK/Euro PR Manager – Betfair ): Just two days out from the Election and the Tories are at their shortest odds for an overall majority since the market opened two years ago on Betfair Exchange. With polls and many political experts predicting a comfortable win for the Conservatives, the market is reflecting the overwhelming view right now and with not long till the country goes to the polls we would have to see something very significant from the Tories or Labour to see that change. However, we will still watch with interest of course as the exit polls and first seats come in on Thursday night as clearly nothing is ever a done-deal in politics, particularly in this current age.
SBC: Campaigning in an election fought on multiple variables, what key metric have bookmakers been paying attention to?
SBC: Ahead of Thursday polling, what are the bell-weather constituencies for GE 2019… How should punters read the UK’s disrupted political roadmap to Number 10?
SBC: Should Boris secure his overall majority – what catchy tagline follows ‘Get Brexit Done’?
Amy Jones (Mischief Maker at Paddy Power): By the looks of things its could be ‘NO THANKS TO EU!’ If Boris Johnson wins the vote on Thursday – which he’s odds-on to do – it’ll be the end of Europe as we know it in Britain.
Though it still feels like there’s a (very) long road ahead in terms of Brexit, it’d be a safe bet to assume that the PM will get us out of the EU as hard and fast as possible.
In fact, there’s a long road ahead for both the UK and Boris himself if he secures his overall majority… We best strap in for the ride!